Consumer confidence rises 8.8% in November and marks the largest jump of Milei's government

Consumer confidence rises 8.8% in November and marks the largest jump of Milei's government
Increase in the Consumer Confidence Index
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The ICC rose by 8.8% in November and reflects a surge of optimism following the elections and economic stabilization

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The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) prepared by Universidad Torcuato Di Tella recorded an 8.8% increase in November, reaching 46.04 points. This is the largest monthly increase since Milei's government began. At the same time, it represents an exceptional movement for an indicator that usually reacts more gradually. 

The data confirm an evident phenomenon in the economic and social climate. After the electoral victory and the confirmation of the stabilization path, confidence rebounded strongly, completely reversing the decline recorded in August.

In just two months —October and November— the index accumulated a 15.65% jump, something extremely unusual in this statistical series. The year-on-year comparison is also positive: the CCI was 2.28% above November 2023.

Fuerte recuperación del ICC en el mes de Noviembre
Fuerte recuperación del ICC en el mes de Noviembre

A more stable country and a confident consumer

The economic reading of the data is straightforward. After the elections, households perceive a more stable scenario, with less uncertainty and greater predictability. The continuity of fiscal order, the reduction of the deficit, and the decrease in inflation have strengthened the sense that the economy has left behind the year's volatility.

The three main components of the CCI showed significant increases:

  • Durable goods and real estate: +10.42%
  • Macroeconomic situation: +9.86%
  • Personal situation: +6.42%

Javier Milei y Luis Caputo.
Javier Milei y Luis Caputo.

This means that consumers have once again seen improvements in their daily lives, in the country's general direction, and in the possibility of making major purchases. The data on durable goods is particularly relevant because it often anticipates recoveries in sensitive sectors such as automobiles, appliances, and housing.

What is the CCI and why is it important for it to rise?

The Consumer Confidence Index measures three dimensions:

  • how each person evaluates their current economic situation,
  • how they believe it will be in the future,
  • and whether they consider it a good time to buy durable goods or access housing.

When the CCI rises, it indicates that families feel more secure, consume more, invest more, and participate more actively in the economy. For this reason, such a strong increase as in November is a sign that the economic program is generating stability and social credibility.

El ICC aumenta 8,8% en Noviembre
El ICC aumenta 8,8% en Noviembre

The improvement was not homogeneous, but it was widespread. GBA showed the strongest jump in the country, with an increase of 12.73%, and in the Interior, confidence grew by 7.40%.

By income level, an interesting fact was also observed. The recovery was more intense among lower-income households, where the CCI rose 12.43%. Meanwhile, among higher-income sectors, the increase was 5.93%.

Expectations and present: society sees a clearer direction

Another key indicator is the relationship between present and future. In November, both improved:

  • Present conditions: +8.19%
  • Future expectations: +9.19%

This shows that not only is the perception of the current moment improving, but optimism for the future is also growing. Stability, institutional continuity, and macroeconomic order strengthen the idea that the country is leaving uncertainty behind.

A change in climate that consolidates the direction

November's data show a decisive jump in confidence, driven by the electoral result, the continuity of the economic plan, and the growing perception of stability.

The economy is beginning to regain credibility and families once again feel that the country is moving toward a scenario of normality.

The recovery of the CCI in two months points to a close of 2024 with greater social optimism, a better economic climate and clear signs that the Government's program is working.


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