A recent survey conducted by Instituto Gerp and exclusively released by the Brazilian outlet EXAME on Wednesday, July 2, revealed a concerning scenario for the socialist dictator Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead of the 2026 presidential elections.
According to the data, if the elections were held today, Lula would be defeated by both the former president and persecuted politician, Jair Bolsonaro, and his wife and former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro, who are positioned as strong opposition figures.
In a runoff scenario against Jair Bolsonaro, the current PT dictator would receive only 32% of the votes, compared to a resounding 52% for the former head of state, who is currently banned, representing a 20 percentage point difference.
This gap is not only outside the margin of error but also demonstrates a significant increase in support for Bolsonaro, despite his current ineligibility imposed by the Electoral Court, which is controlled by Lula.
Michelle Bolsonaro also emerges as a serious threat to Lula. According to the same survey, the former first lady would defeat the current president by 46% to 34%, a 12-point difference. Although Michelle has not yet officially confirmed her intention to run, her name is gaining ground as a figure capable of uniting the right-wing electorate and capitalizing on her husband's legacy in a potential scenario without Jair Bolsonaro in the race.
