Bloomberg anticipates a major victory for Javier Milei in the October elections

A new poll published by Bloomberg News anticipates a solid victory for Javier Milei in the October legislative elections. According to the survey conducted by consulting firm AtlasIntel, the President's party, La Libertad Avanza, leads voting preferences with 39% intention, far above the 28% garnered by the main opposition force, Unión por la Patria.

This data positions Milei in a clear scenario of electoral victory. Support for the ruling party remains strong thanks to perceived achievements such as lower inflation, a decrease in poverty, and the lifting of currency controls for individuals.

The poll that excites the ruling party

The AtlasIntel survey, commissioned by Bloomberg, was conducted online between July 25 and 28, with a sample of 4,080 cases. Although it did not investigate specific candidates, but rather parties, the study reflects significant support for the ruling force, while other alternatives —such as Mauricio Macri's PRO— are in single-digit figures.

12% of the electorate remains undecided and another 5% plan to cast a blank or null vote. This portion of the electorate will be key in the outcome of the October 26 elections, where half of the Chamber of Deputies and one third of the Senate will be renewed.

The market awaits confirmation of the course

The elections are being closely watched by financial markets, which interpret them as a referendum on Milei's reform plan. The libertarian leader, who governs with a minority in Congress, has resorted to presidential vetoes to block opposition-backed laws that sought to halt his austerity program.

The future of labor, fiscal, and pension system reforms depends largely on whether La Libertad Avanza manages to gain seats and consolidate its legislative capacity. According to Bloomberg, investors are still waiting for clearer signals of political sustainability to reactivate the sovereign bond rally that followed the presidential election.