Javier Milei leads the voting intention and surpasses Kicillof by almost 15 points

Javier Milei leads the voting intention and surpasses Kicillof by almost 15 points
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Argentina

The president is close to a potential victory in the first round, according to a national poll by Explanans conducted in September

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1000 days since the assumption of President Javier Milei, a national survey by Explanans placed the president in first place in voting intention ahead of the 2027 elections, with strong support.

The survey, conducted between September 2 and 9, 2026, included 7,015 selected cases from a total of 11,725 effective responses. The measurement was conducted online in 25 urban conglomerates, covering 91 cities across 21 provinces and the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires.

According to the report, President Milei receives 38.5% of the votes, just 1.5 points away from a potential victory in the first round and with a lead of 14.5 over the second.

The survey
The survey

Behind the president is the ultra-Kirchnerist governor Axel Kicillof, with 24% of voting intention. Further back are the communist leader Myriam Bregman, with 10.4%; the failed former Minister of Economy Sergio Massa, with 6.1%; and former president Mauricio Macri, with 3.7%.

Additionally, 8.3% of respondents indicated they would choose another candidate, while 3% would opt for a blank vote and 6% did not define their position.

The strong support from the interior and his voters

One of the highlighted data points from the survey is the level of support retention among those who voted for Milei in the 2023 presidential runoff. According to Explanans, 71% of that electorate continues to support the President.

The survey also showed differences in voting intention by gender. Among men, Milei reached 46.2%, while among women he recorded 31.4%.

The survey
The survey

Regarding territorial distribution, the survey also shows differences among the various regions of the country. In Córdoba, Milei reaches 51.7%, while Kicillof registers 15.5%. In Mendoza, the President obtains 48.0% compared to 14.7% for the Kirchnerist governor.

In Santa Fe, Milei gathers 45.2% of the voting intention and Kicillof reaches 19.0%. In CABA, the President records 35.8%, while Kicillof gets to 25.0%.

The measurement also includes the Province of Buenos Aires, a historic bastion of Kirchnerism, where the difference is notable: Milei obtains 34.5% and Kicillof 29.2%. In the rest of the country, meanwhile, the President reaches 37.3% compared to Kicillof's 22.4%.

The voting intention results included in the survey show Milei in first place for a potential first round, with 38.5%, while the study also records support levels close to 50%, surpassing the Buenos Aires governor by almost 15 points, his main opponent.



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