La Libertad Avanza leads Kirchnerism by more than 11 points in Buenos Aires Province, according to a survey

La Libertad Avanza leads Kirchnerism by more than 11 points in Buenos Aires Province, according to a survey
President Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof
porEditorial Team
Argentina

The survey, conducted between November 23 and 26, reveals that LLA reaches 43.9% voting intention

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A recent survey conducted in the province of Buenos Aires once again placed La Libertad Avanza (LLA) as the political force with the highest voting intention ahead of the 2027 provincial elections.

The study, carried out by the consulting firm Mercados & Estrategia, shows a lead of more than 11 points for the group led by President Javier Milei.

The firm responsible for the survey presents itself as an agency "organized this year as a result of the professional experience accumulated by PGD Consultores in the Patagonian political market between 2011 and 2023, to enhance its know-how and expand its services throughout the country." Between November 23 and 26, it conducted a sample consisting of 692 cases in Buenos Aires territory, with a margin of error of +/- 3.73%.

El presidente Javier Milei.
El presidente Javier Milei.

Before presenting the electoral results, the consulting firm introduces a methodological warning intended to contextualize the reading of the current scenario. "This is a snapshot of the current moment, strongly influenced by LLA's recent electoral victory at the national and provincial levels. Volatility is high and the scenario may change significantly in the next 18 months remaining until the next provincial elections," the study notes.

Even with that caution, the measurement offers a clear political barometer: in a "legislative elections" scenario in 2027, La Libertad Avanza is comfortably positioned in first place.

According to the report, President Javier Milei's party reaches 43.9% voting intention, which puts them 11.3 points ahead of the group appearing as the second force, the Kirchnerist front Fuerza Patria.

La encuesta de Mercados & Estrategia
La encuesta de Mercados & Estrategia

The full distribution of preferences is as follows: La Libertad Avanza leads the list (43.9%), followed at a distance by Fuerza Patria (32.6%), Others/Center (9.3%), Frente de Izquierda (4.9%), and Ns/Nc (9.4%).

The report also shows that nearly one in ten Buenos Aires residents has yet to define their preference, a component that could be decisive in a context where the consulting firm highlights the possibility of rapid fluctuations in public opinion. Even so, the trend in favor of the libertarian ruling party appears to be consolidating in the country's largest province, at least at this stage of the political cycle.


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