NASA's Swift Observatory is about to fall to Earth

NASA's Swift Observatory is about to fall to Earth

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After 22 years in orbit and a failed rescue attempt, the 1,450-kilo satellite will re-enter the atmosphere in the middle of this week with an impact zone that covers several continents

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After more than two decades in space and an unsuccessful rescue attempt, NASA's Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory is about to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. The satellite, which weighs around 1,450 kilograms and is roughly the size of a large elevator, will likely disintegrate mostly, although some fragments could reach the surface.

Launched on November 20, 2004, Swift was designed to detect and study gamma-ray bursts, some of the most energetic explosions in the universe. It had three telescopes that allowed it to locate these events and immediately alert ground observatories to continue observations. Although it was intended to operate for only a few years, it far exceeded its expected lifespan.

During its long career, the satellite provided key data on supernovae and how black holes destroy stars. It observed over 2,000 gamma-ray bursts and nearly the same number of supernovae. This information served as the basis for more than 7,000 scientific papers. Its archive of observations across multiple wavelengths will continue to generate discoveries for decades.

The problem began to worsen in 2024 when an increase in solar activity heated and expanded the upper layers of the atmosphere. This increased drag on the satellite and accelerated its descent. As it did not have a propulsion system capable of correcting its orbit, its fate was sealed.

NASA's Swift Observatory is about to fall to Earth

The Rescue That Never Came

In July 2026, NASA launched a special $30 million mission with the robotic spacecraft LINK. The idea was to drag Swift about 240 kilometers farther from Earth to give it a higher orbit and extend its lifespan. The mission failed. In August, NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman explained that problems with the spacecraft's control system made it impossible to keep it oriented and stable.

On October 26, the agency reported that Swift was less than 270 kilometers from the surface, a height too low to continue operating. The telescopes could no longer point stably. The last observation was made on October 20, and the team from Pennsylvania State University declared its operational life over.

NASA's Swift Observatory is about to fall to Earth

Shawn Domagal-Goldman, director of NASA's Astrophysics Division, emphasized that the satellite “delivered an extraordinary and lasting return on investment,” as it was designed for two years and operated for more than ten times that duration. Swift was part of a revolution in astrophysics that demonstrated the importance of rapid-response observations.

According to estimates from the United States Space Force, re-entry is expected around Friday, November 6. Most of the observatory will disintegrate upon entering the atmosphere. However, tungsten pieces, reaction wheels, and some components of the mirrors could survive.

Where It Could Fall

The possible impact zone covers large regions of Africa, Australia, India, Southeast Asia, and Central and South America. It is very likely that the surviving debris will end up in the ocean. Experts believe that the risk to people is low and meets NASA's standards, which require that the probability of casualties does not exceed one in 10,000.

Aerospace engineer Dean Sladen noted that only a handful of small, charred fragments are expected to reach land, nothing resembling a telescope. Still, he requested that the risk assessment be published, as was done with previous satellites, to provide clear information instead of speculation.


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