The consulting firm Explanans published a new national survey that projects a very favorable electoral scenario for President Javier Milei.
In its latest study, the firm shows the libertarian leader with a significant advantage in voting intention against the ultra-Kirchnerist governor Axel Kicillof.
The survey, conducted between May 28 and June 3 on 7,015 cases nationwide, presents a margin of error of 1.17% and is based on online surveys. It is part of the ninth report that the consulting firm has prepared since the presidential inauguration, with periodic evaluations every 100 days.
The survey
In a first round scenario, the results show that Milei reaches 38.2% of voting intention, while Kicillof comes in second with 28%.
This gap of 10.2 points positions the President close to victory in the first round and without the need for a runoff, considering that one of the conditions to win outright is to exceed 40%, having more than 10 points of difference over the second.
The study poses the classic question: “If the presidential elections were today…”, including options with defined candidates, as well as blank votes and the category “don’t know”.
President Javier Milei
In this context, undecided voters and blank votes represent a small percentage (5% and 2.8% respectively), which reinforces the strength of the ruling party's leadership in the measurement.
Further back are other figures in the political landscape. The communist Myriam Bregman registers at 12.8%, while Mauricio Macri obtains 5.2%, both remaining considerably below the two main candidates.
The report also includes an analysis of a potential runoff between Milei and Kicillof, where a scenario of greater parity is projected, although the central data of the study focuses on the first round, where the current President achieves a wide advantage that positions him as the main candidate.
With these numbers, the electoral landscape presents Milei as the best-positioned candidate, with a solid support base and room to win in the first round if the trend continues.
