In a Ciudad de Buenos Aires marked by a growing demand for political renewal, a new survey by the consultancy firm Opina Argentina confirms what is already perceived on the streets: La Libertad Avanza (LLA), the space led nationally by President Javier Milei, is consolidating as the leading force in voting intention with 26.1%, displacing Kirchnerism to second place (25.7%) and leaving PRO, which has governed the district for almost two decades, in a distant third place with just 15.6%.
In the candidate measurement, Adorni ranks among the candidates with the highest voting intention, surpassing historical figures from other forces such as PRO deputy Silvia Lospennato (15%) or former Mayor Horacio Rodríguez Larreta (12.1%), whose administrations today appear overshadowed by the momentum of new leaderships. Other leaders in competition, such as Ramiro Marra, Paula Oliveto, Yamil Santoro, or Lucille Levy, register lower preferences, in a range between 0.1% and 4%.
Los números de La Libertad Avanza.
In the political map of Buenos Aires, the decline of traditional forces is also observed: the Movimiento al Desarrollo, linked to larretismo, garners 10.7%; Evolución Radical, led by Martín Lousteau, barely 4.8%; and the Frente de Izquierda stagnates at 3.3%. 6.1% of those surveyed opted for other forces, while 4.7% were undecided or did not respond, and 3% expressed their intention to vote blank or not participate.
The survey, conducted in early May, confirms that the main political forces maintain their levels compared to the previous month, except for PRO, which fell by two percentage points, deepening its internal crisis. This setback highlights the tensions within the space founded by Mauricio Macri, whose internal divisions and lack of clear leadership have weakened its historical position in the City.
Santoro, Adorni y Lospennato
The tension between PRO and LLA had its most recent chapter after the failed Senate treatment of the Clean Record law. From Macri's circle, they tried to blame the officialdom, while President Milei replied forcefully: "One thing is to say that the votes are there, and another is to go and count them." The president also accused Deputy Lospennato of "wanting to inflate herself in the campaign"for personal purposes, exposing the internal conflicts and opportunism of certain sectors of traditional politics.
The legislative elections on the upcoming May 18 in the City will be held with Single Paper Ballot, a system implemented since 2023 that improves the transparency and efficiency of the electoral process. Argentine citizens from the age of 16 and foreign residents from the age of 18 are eligible to vote, as long as they are registered.
The distribution of seats in the Buenos Aires Legislature is defined by the D'Hondt system, which makes each percentage point a key element to influence governance. In this scenario, La Libertad Avanza emerges as the most competitive force, with the ability to expand its parliamentary presence and project a City aligned with the deep change that Javier Milei promotes at the national level.
