NASA updated its calculations regarding the trajectory of asteroid 2024 YR4, a space rock that once raised concerns about a possible collision with Earth.
Now, all eyes are on the Moon, as there is an estimated 4.3% probability of impact in 2032. While the figure may seem high, it doesn't pose any risk to life on our planet.
What changed in the trajectory of asteroid 2024 YR4?
Certainty about its future location improved by nearly 20% thanks to new data collected in recent weeks. That adjustment allowed for a more precise calculation of the possibility of a lunar impact.
NASA's latest update indicates that the probability of impact with the Moon rose from 3.8% to 4.3%. Although it seems like a low number, it is significant within the astronomical context.
Could an impact on the Moon affect Earth?
According to NASA, a potential collision would not alter the lunar orbit or cause problems on Earth. Even if fragments were caused, they would disintegrate upon entering the atmosphere.
Physicist Pawan Kumar stated that "it would not be a cause for concern," since any debris reaching Earth would explode before touching the surface.
A case that put planetary defense systems to the test
When asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered, a small possibility of impact with Earth was detected. Its risk became the highest recorded so far, which triggered an immediate international response.
