Argentine officials who maintain fluid dialogue with the Republican administration agree that:
- The process will result in a negotiated transition agreement
- A new military offensive is not planned, in principle
- The focus will be on preventing the radicalization of the hard-line Venezuelan military wing
Oil, stability, and political realism
A pragmatic and realistic vision has prevailed in the White House, backed by intelligence reports that warn that explicit support for opposition sectors could force an increase in the United States military presence in Venezuela.

In that context, Secretary of State Marco Rubio gained influence by warning that open support for the opposition would complicate the transition. Trump, meanwhile, made it clear that the strategic priority is to guarantee access to Venezuelan oil, using pressure tools such as a possible military "quarantine" on exports.
Casa Rosada supports that approach: order, stability, and coordination with the United States, without unilateral gestures or diplomatic adventures that could worsen an already extremely delicate situation.













