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Country risk plummeted by 4.8% following the Central Bank's announcements.

Country risk plummeted by 4.8% following the Central Bank's announcements.
Javier Milei on Wall Street
porEditorial Team
Argentina

The new exchange rate band scheme tied to inflation boosted bonds and reduced country risk


Argentina's country risk registered a sharp drop of 4.8% this Monday, after the Central Bank of the Argentine Republic (BCRA) announced a key update to the exchange rate bands scheme. The indicator developed by JP Morgan closed the day at 594 basis points, once again breaking through the 600 threshold and consolidating a positive signal for financial markets.

The decline occurred as a direct response to the official announcement that, starting January 1, 2026, the ceiling and floor of the exchange rate floating band will be adjusted monthly based on the latest inflation data published by INDEC. The decision was interpreted as an additional step toward a more predictable exchange rate regime, with clear rules and no political discretion.

Javier Milei, presidente de Argentina.
Javier Milei, presidente de Argentina.

The market's reaction was immediate. Argentine sovereign bonds showed widespread increases during the session, with gains of up to 2.9%, which explains the compression of country risk. The public securities panel turned green, reflecting an improvement in the perception of solvency and in the credibility of the economic program.

From the BCRA, led by Santiago Bausili, officials explained that the measure is part of phase III of the economic program, whose central objective is to deepen monetary stability and strengthen the process of remonetizing the economy. In this context, the monetary authority also announced a scheme to increase international reserves, tied to the evolution of money demand and the liquidity of the foreign exchange market.

Javier Milei, con la economía al alza.
Javier Milei, con la economía al alza.

The drop in country risk reinforces the trend observed in recent months, in which the indicator has been steadily declining as a result of fiscal consolidation, slowing inflation, and the elimination of inherited distortions. In this context, the new signal from the BCRA was interpreted as confirmation that the economic course is not altered by the political situation.

Meanwhile, sectors of the opposition warn about alleged exchange rate risks, but the data show that the market responds concretely to technical and predictable decisions. With clear rules and macroeconomic discipline, the national government continues to accumulate financial support.


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