Deaths surpassed births in Buenos Aires Province in 2025

Deaths surpassed births in Buenos Aires Province in 2025
The ultra-Kirchnerist governor Axel Kicillof
porEditorial Team
Argentina

The sharp drop in birth rates caused a negative population balance in the province

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For the first time in decades, Buenos Aires Province ended the year 2025 with more deaths than births, consolidating a negative population balance that reflects a sharp collapse in the birth rate.

According to official data from the Provincial Registry of Persons, during the twelve months of last year 120,138 births were recorded in Buenos Aires territory. This figure represents a 9% drop compared with 2024, when 131,186 births had been recorded, and an even more pronounced decrease of 55% compared with 2020, a year in which 186,588 people were born.

In contrast with this collapse in births, the number of deaths remained high. During 2025 approximately 133,900 people died in the province. This difference between births and deaths caused a negative demographic balance of around 13,800 people, confirming that the population shrank naturally as a direct consequence of this trend.

Cayó fuerte la tasa de natalidad.
Cayó fuerte la tasa de natalidad.

The central figure that shows the magnitude of the phenomenon is that, during the last year, the number of deaths far exceeded the number of births. This scenario reflects a deep transformation in the population dynamics of the country's largest and most populous province, which could be mirrored in other regions.

The evolution of births in recent years shows a sustained downward trend. The official statistics make it possible to clearly observe this progressive decline:

  • 2020: 186,588 births
  • 2021: 166,102 births
  • 2022: 154,046 births
  • 2023: 141,785 births
  • 2024: 131,186 births
  • 2025: 120,138 births

Un bebé.
Un bebé.

In just five years, the province lost more than 66,000 annual births, a decrease with a strong demographic impact that shows a structural change in population growth.

Unlike this sustained decline in births, the number of deaths didn't show an equivalent reduction. The stability in mortality figures, combined with the constant decrease in births, caused the negative balance recorded in 2025.

This phenomenon isn't exclusive to Buenos Aires Province, since the decline in births is observed at the national level and in all Western countries. However, the magnitude of the decrease in Buenos Aires territory takes on particular relevance because of its demographic weight in Argentina, since it accounts for almost 40% of the country's total population.


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