Electoral survey: Milei leads clearly and expands his advantage over Kicillof

Electoral survey: Milei leads clearly and expands his advantage over Kicillof
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Argentina

The strong support the president receives could allow him to achieve a first-round victory in the 2027 elections

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A new national survey by the consulting firm Equipo Mide confirms the strong support for President Javier Milei and positions him with a clear advantage heading into the 2027 presidential elections.

The survey shows the president leading the voting intention with 30%, consolidating his leadership in the political landscape. However, when adding the support of candidates close to La Libertad Avanza, the voting intention approaches 40%, very close to a potential victory in the first round.

Behind Milei is the ultra-Kirchnerist Axel Kicillof with 19%, which implies an 11-point difference in favor of the current President.

Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof
Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof

Further back is Myriam Bregman with 8%, while the rest of the leaders are at considerably lower levels: Victoria Villarruel and Sergio Massa each register 4%, Mauricio Macri reaches 3%, and Máximo Kirchner and Juan Grabois obtain 2% each.

The study also shows that 5% of respondents would choose to vote blank or not participate, while 14% have not yet defined their choice.

The survey, conducted between June 20 and 26 with 2,348 cases nationwide and a margin of error of +/- 2.1%, was led by Gonzalo de Janin and also provides relevant data on the expanded alliance scenario.

In this sense, when projecting support within the same political space, Milei could reach a 37% voting intention by adding the backing of like-minded figures such as Patricia Bullrich and Mauricio Macri, coming close to a victory in the first round.

The survey
The survey

In contrast, the space led by Kicillof would reach 27%, adding figures like Máximo Kirchner, Juan Grabois, and Sergio Massa, which widens the gap in favor of the ruling party.

At the same time, the survey also investigates the main motivations of the electorate. “Economy” stands out as the predominant factor with 34% of responses, far above the other variables. It is followed by “Employment” with 19%, “Corruption” with 15%, “Poverty” with 14%, “Inflation” with 8%, “Security” with 6%, and “Other” with 4%.

Regarding the President's electoral potential, the report shows a 24% certain vote and a 15% probable vote, thus reaching a base of 39% support, reinforcing his competitiveness heading into the next electoral round.

The data consolidates Javier Milei as the leader with the highest voting intention currently, with a sustained advantage over his main competitors and a scenario that positions him strongly in the presidential race.


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