Five months before the legislative elections, the Córdoba political map is beginning to take clear shape: Javier Milei and his party La Libertad Avanza (LLA) are consolidating themselves as the dominant force in the province, according to a survey conducted by the consulting firm Pulso Social between May 21 and 25. The study, led by Nicolás Meloni and Federico Der-Meguerditchian, reveals a striking fact: LLA leads voting intention with 40%, more than doubling the second party.
The provincial ruling party, represented by Governor Martín Llaryora and former governor Juan Schiaretti, receives 19% support, while Kirchnerism, with 12%, surpasses a weakened Juntos por el Cambio (JxC), which falls to fourth place with just 10%, reflecting its collapse at both the provincial and national levels.
La muestra sólida a LLA en Córdoba.
The image of the national government remains positive in the province: 61% of Cordobans evaluate Javier Milei's administration favorably, compared to 36% who disapprove. This support is projected toward the legislative elections, although analysts warn that the key will be how LLA's local candidates are defined.
"A 'pure' candidate without local experience could have difficulty retaining all that vote share," the consultants point out in the report. This is why the role of Karina Milei, Secretary General of the Presidency and political architect of the party, will be decisive. With her influence already established in the national organization, she will now have to reconcile interests: from influential leaders such as Congressman Gabriel Bornoroni to possible high-impact additions like the Radical Rodrigo de Loredo and Senator Luis Juez.
Both opposition leaders maintain different levels of dialogue with the national government. De Loredo, although he still prefers to look toward 2027, has left the door open to a "non-Peronist front" and doesn't rule out agreements. Juez, meanwhile, has already expressed his willingness to support the libertarian project, as long as his provincial position is respected.
The survey also depicts a terminal scenario for Juntos por el Cambio in Córdoba. The historic alliance between PRO and UCR is experiencing a deep fracture: internal conflicts, lack of leadership, and the negative drag from its national implosion have cornered them at 10% voting intention. This is a significant blow in a province that was once a stronghold of anti-Kirchnerism.
Martín Llaryora y Juan Schiaretti.
Meanwhile, "Cordobesismo"—embodied by Llaryora and Schiaretti—is trying to contain the libertarian advance, but the numbers are cause for concern. The provincial administration's positive image has dropped two points since January (from 56% to 54%), although it remains stronger in the interior with peaks of up to 58%.
Although 42% of Cordobans state they are "worse off" than six months ago, 37% trust they will be better off in the next semester. This figure reveals a central component in the libertarian narrative: social patience as a bet on confidence in the economic direction.
53% of those surveyed believe Javier Milei's government is heading in the right direction. Although tensions persist over austerity measures and the debate on export duties, the general climate continues to benefit the national government. The warnings that Cordobesismo seeks to raise have not yet managed to change the electoral mood.
