A survey projected that Milei would win the 2027 runoff by a 14-point margin.

A survey projected that Milei would win the 2027 runoff by a 14-point margin.
President Javier Milei
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Argentina

A recent study by the consulting firm Equipo Mide analyzed what a presidential runoff in 2027 would look like

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After the resounding result achieved by the Government of Javier Milei in the legislative elections in October, polls are beginning to look toward 2027 and to measure the political impact of the official momentum.

In this context, a recent study by the consulting firm Equipo Mide revealed that, if there were a presidential runoff today, La Libertad Avanza, the party of the Argentine president, would once again achieve a major victory over Kirchnerism with a clear and consistent advantage.

The study, conducted between December 1 and 5 with 2,142 cases and a margin of error of ± 2.12%, is titled "Two Years of Milei in the Presidency of the Nation" and outlines a scenario in which the ruling party not only retains support but even expands its electoral competitiveness for the future.

EN VIVO: el presidente Javier Milei participa de la Expo EFI
EN VIVO: el presidente Javier Milei participa de la Expo EFI

The consulting firm, with a presence in Argentina, Uruguay, Mexico, and Spain, highlights that the psychological and political boost following the legislative elections directly impacts citizens' perceptions.

The strongest data appears on page 38 of the report, where the hypothetical scenario is posed: "If there were a runoff or second round in the 2027 presidential elections, who do you think you would vote for?" There, the responses once again show a favorable climate for the Government: 40% would vote for La Libertad Avanza and 30% for Fuerza Patria/Peronism, while the remaining 30% remain undecided.

When only affirmative votes are projected, the outlook is even stronger for Milei: La Libertad Avanza rises to 57% and Peronism to 43%, a difference practically identical to that obtained by the current President in 2023.

La encuesta de Equipo Mide.
La encuesta de Equipo Mide.

The report also examines the general relationship of citizens with the Government. In response to the question about their stance toward the administration, 36% declare their support, while 30% express opposition and 34% take an intermediate position. 

In the initial section of the study, the classic indicators of political mood and economic climate appear, where once again a sustained improvement is observed in public perception toward Milei's administration. That recovery is clearly reflected in the presidential image: the president went from 44% positive image and 54% negative to 53% and 47%, thus regaining a favorable balance.

The Equipo Mide survey not only confirms Milei's strong political moment but also suggests that, if this trend continues, La Libertad Avanza will enter the pre-electoral year with an overwhelming advantage over Peronism, which still has not managed to rebuild a competitive leadership.


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