Two people holding microphones while speaking in front of an audience in an auditorium.
ECUADOR

The final poll showed Daniel Noboa with an advantage over Luisa González

Comunicaliza positioned the ADN candidate ahead in voting intention and citizen evaluation

The last authorized day to publish polls showed encouraging signs for Daniel Noboa, who has established himself as a candidate with growing citizen support. According to Comunicaliza's data, Noboa slightly surpassed Luisa González both in voting intention and positive perception.

The study, conducted between April 2 and 3 with 4,763 people, gave Noboa 50.3% in valid votes, compared to González's 49.7%. In citizen evaluation, 51.3% rated Noboa as "very good" or "good", while González received the same level of approval from 46.3% of respondents.

Noboa's technical advantage also reflects a greater connection with voters' concerns, especially on issues of security and governance. Although Telcodata's poll showed a reverse result with a minimal margin in favor of González (50.2% versus 49.8%), the high number of interviews (13,583) might reflect methodological variations rather than substantial changes in the electorate.

Both polls agreed that the election will be very close, but Noboa's positive trend and his leadership in public image strengthen his position heading into the second round. Comunicaliza, whose director Álvaro Marchante is authorized by the CNE, highlighted the sustained growth of the ADN candidate in the final stretch.

A man voting in a polling booth in Ecuador with the message
CNE | La Derecha Diario

Daniel Noboa has focused his message on institutional efficiency, crime fighting, and foreign investment, clearly differentiating himself from the proposals of the Citizen Revolution. In contrast, Luisa González has maintained a discourse aligned with the Correa model, questioned for its authoritarian past and inherited crises.

"We are seeing a citizenry seeking modern and responsible solutions, not a return to past policies," noted a political analyst reviewing the data. The growing preference for Noboa confirms the electorate's desire for change, demanding stability and clear responses to the country's challenges.

As April 13 approaches, Noboa's figure is consolidating as the option representing future, renewal, and balance. His campaign has managed to resonate with the public's weariness of extremes and a demand for technical and pragmatic leadership.

Days before the second round, Daniel Noboa leads not only in voting intention, but also in positive perception. His candidacy is emerging as a viable and renewing alternative against the past proposals still represented by Correa's model.

➡️ Ecuador

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