Acción Nacional is not extinct... yet. However, the ground shrinks every year, and not because of the weather. Out of 32 governorships, only four remain under the blue: Guanajuato, Querétaro, Chihuahua, and Aguascalientes. Strongholds of work? I don't know, Rick; today they seem like islands in the middle of a maroon ocean where the tide keeps rising. Morena, in six years, went from a promise to a territorial machine that governs three-quarters of the country, including places that were once impossible to take.
In Congress, the numbers are clear: around 14% in the Chamber of Deputies and 16% in the Senate. The muscle is there, but it's not enough to move the agenda without alliances. Locally, PAN retains key cities and strategic municipalities, especially in CDMX, which still give us visibility and a sounding board. However, it must be said: if that doesn't translate into regaining states, it's like having a tuned car... but without gas.
Guanajuato: the last jewel outside the safe
Guanajuato is, and must remain, the strongest model of PAN strategy. Here, things have worked better than in other states, and that experience should be replicated throughout the country. However, there is a sense of neglect from the National CEN, as if out of arrogance they don't realize that this is the strongest card left, in terms of voters, strategies, and profiles (many already abandoned).
Internal differences exist — among leaders, groups, and even within the governments themselves — but in PAN they're still solved with politics and maneuvering, not with chair-throwing like in Morena. That is an advantage that shouldn't be wasted. Because even if the division isn't dramatic, it does erode strength. In politics, even small cracks are enough for water to seep in, and PAN in Guanajuato has run out of waterproofing.
The adversary is outside... and advancing quickly
Morena isn't waiting. It's advancing, strengthening its narrative, its machinery, and its territorial presence in every corner of the country. PAN must stop focusing only on managing what it already governs and go on the offensive, providing resistance and regaining ground in the many areas it has lost. It's not just about holding on, but about going for more, with a firm, clear message and without fear of saying who we are and what we stand for (even if some voices tremble when interviewed by progressive journalists).
