Country risk fell to its lowest level since 2018 after the announcement of the repo with international banks

Country risk fell to its lowest level since 2018 after the announcement of the repo with international banks
Country risk fell to its lowest level since 2018 after the announcement of the repo with international banks
porEditorial Team
Argentina

Markets reacted strongly to the confirmation of the USD 3.0 billion repo


Argentine assets began Tuesday's trading session with a marked favorable trend, driven by news that the market had been expecting for weeks:the confirmation of a USD 3 billion repo loan, arranged between the Central Bank and six top-tier international financial institutions. The agreement aims to guarantee the debt maturities of next January 9 and to strengthen the level of international reserves at a key moment for economic policy.

The operation arrived just before the opening of the markets. As soon as the official statement was released, sovereign bonds in dollars showed average gains of 0.3%, while country risk fell sharply, dropping to 548 basis points, the lowest level since July 2018. By 10:30, the indicator had stabilized around 554 points, still at an extraordinarily low level by Argentine standards of recent years.

A repo that reinforces reserves and revalues bonds

The Central Bank explained that the agreement was structured as a passive repo backed by Bonares bonds under local law maturing in 2035 and 2038. The agreed rate was 7.4% annually, considered competitive for a country that just months ago was facing strong exchange rate tensions and country risk above 2,000 points.

El BCRA consiguió un Repo de USD 3.000 millones y garantiza el pago del próximo vencimiento de deuda
El BCRA consiguió un Repo de USD 3.000 millones y garantiza el pago del próximo vencimiento de deuda

For analysts, the repo has a double effect: it clears immediate debt maturities —the main source of short-term uncertainty— and it sends a clear signal to the market about the fiscal and monetary discipline implemented by Javier Milei's government. In that reading, the rebound in bond prices and the improvement in the risk index are directly linked to a stronger perception of the sustainability of the economic program.

Positive reaction of Argentine ADRs on Wall Street

The impact was not limited to the local market. In Wall Street's pre-market, ADRs of Argentine companies posted gains of between 1% and 2%. Among the largest moves were the representative shares of Grupo Galicia, YPF, Pampa Energía, and Banco Supervielle, which extended the momentum of recent weeks in a context of growing international interest in Argentine assets.

Brokers consulted interpret this move as an indication that global investors —after years of defensive positioning— are beginning to reassess opportunities in assets linked to Argentina, especially in strategic sectors such as energy and financial services.

El BCRA consiguió un Repo de USD 3.000 millones y garantiza el pago del próximo vencimiento de deuda
El BCRA consiguió un Repo de USD 3.000 millones y garantiza el pago del próximo vencimiento de deuda

Renewed confidence and a decisive shift in expectations

Market behavior confirms a change in expectations that has been consolidating since the start of the new administration. The combination of fiscal adjustment, monetary normalization, gradual liberalization, and an explicit willingness to honor debt is being interpreted as a structural shift in Argentina's macroeconomy.

With this new financing and the improvement in indicators, the government expects to reduce country risk even further in the coming weeks, enabling the possibility of accessing international credit under better conditions and, eventually, rebuilding a sustainable financing curve for the public and private sectors.


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