For the first time since 2018, a greater number of Americans have chosen to register as Republicans rather than Democrats. This is confirmed by a recent report from the Democratic mouthpiece The New York Times, based on voter registration data collected by a data company.
"Of the 30 states that track voter registration by political affiliation, Democrats lost ground to Republicans in each and every one of them between the 2020 and 2024 elections, and often by a wide margin," the report begins to explain.
"In total, Democrats lost around 2.1 million registered voters between the 2020 and 2024 elections in the 30 states, along with Washington D.C., that allow registration with a political party," the text adds.
Democrats can no longer rely on the role of activists and grassroots leaders | La Derecha Diario
More and more voters are choosing to be Republicans.
The data suggest that party activists can no longer rely on their traditional methods to reverse this trend, a fact that leaves Democratic leaders and analysts in shock, not knowing how to revive their electoral prospects.
For years, the left has relied on a vast network of nonprofit organizations—which assumed the role of political operatives and activists—to register young voters and minority members, who voted overwhelmingly for the Democratic candidate regardless of who it was.
The Times report found that the new electoral coalition of the Republican Party led by Trump, consisting of working-class voters from multiple demographic groups, checkmated Democratic aspirations, since they can no longer rely on attracting racial minorities to win elections.
The Democratic Party is in crisis | La Derecha Diario
A bleak outlook for Democrats.
In 2024, the report says, the proportion of new voters registered as Republicans nationwide surpassed that of Democrats, increasing by nine points compared to 2018, while the Democrats' share fell by almost eight percent.
The change between 2020 and 2024 was also evident in the four key states with available party affiliation data: North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Nevada. These are the states that any candidate must ensure to win in order to secure the presidency.
"I don't want to say 'the death spiral of the Democratic Party,' but it seems like this has no end," said Michael Pruser, director of data science at the election-focused site Decision Desk HQ. "There's no silver lining and no cavalry coming to the rescue. This happens month after month, year after year," he concluded.
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