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Javier Milei leads in voting intention and would sweep in a potential runoff against Kicillof.

Javier Milei leads in voting intention and would sweep in a potential runoff against Kicillof.
Imagen de Editorial Team
porEditorial Team
Argentina

A survey by Opinaia shows that La Libertad Avanza is positioned as the force with the most support and the least rejection.

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A new national survey has once again confirmed that La Libertad Avanza is positioned as the most supported force and the least rejected ahead of the presidential elections of 2027.

The study by the consulting firm Opinaia reinforces the position of President Javier Milei in the Argentine political landscape and projects a favorable competitive outlook.

The survey, conducted on 1,000 cases between May 22 and May 27, with a margin of error of +/- 3%, shows signs of growth in key indicators and a strong electoral positioning of the ruling party.

The report confirms an improvement in expectations and, especially, in the political support structure of La Libertad Avanza, which appears to be leading both in voting intention and in electoral base indicators.

President Javier Milei.
President Javier Milei.

The survey data

In electoral terms, the data is compelling. La Libertad Avanza is at the forefront in political identification with 30%, followed by Peronismo K with 23%. Further back are PRO (7%), Provincias Unidas (5%), and Frente de Izquierda (4%), while 30% still do not define their positioning.

The predominance of the ruling party is also reflected in the analysis of electoral floors and ceilings. The force led by Milei has the highest “secure vote”, reaching 28%, and at the same time presents the lowest level of rejection, with 50% of respondents stating they would never vote for it.

This last data coincides with its electoral ceiling, also at 50%, positioning it as the option with the greatest growth potential.

Survey data | Clarín Image.
Survey data | Clarín Image.

In comparison, Peronismo K shows a floor of 19% and a significantly higher rejection rate, at 59%, while other forces like Provincias Unidas and the Frente de Izquierda register even higher rejection levels, at 63% and 67% respectively.

Another relevant piece of data is the perception of the continuity of the current course. When asked what would be best for the country, 44% lean towards the continuity of Milei, either without changes (15%) or with adjustments (29%). In contrast, 40% believe the president should not continue, while 16% do not have a defined stance.

Survey data | Clarín Image.
Survey data | Clarín Image.

Runoff between Milei and Kicillof

In a potential runoff scenario, Milei also clearly prevails. According to the study, he would obtain 43% of the votes against 30% for the ultra-Kirchnerist governor Axel Kicillof, with 28% undecided. This result consolidates his advantage in a key head-to-head and reinforces his competitiveness for a potential reelection.

The approval of Milei's management stands at 44%, with a positive personal image of 42%. The report highlights that the ruling party manages to maintain a solid base of support, which continues to grow.

More than two years into his administration, the libertarian government not only maintains political centrality but also appears well-positioned to strongly contest the presidential landscape of 2027.


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