La Libertad Avanza would win in 7 of the 8 provinces renewing senators in October

Looking ahead to the national legislative elections in October, a recent study by CB Consultora Opinión Pública reveals an extremely encouraging fact for Javier Milei's government.

La Libertad Avanza (LLA), the party led by President Milei, is positioned as the favorite to win in seven out of the eight provinces that will renew their seats in the Senate next October 26. This projection, which would mark a significant shift in the composition of the upper chamber, reinforces the popular support for the political and economic direction promoted by the current libertarian administration.

The report takes on special relevance after the illegal session held by Kirchnerism in the Senate, where laws were passed that seek to destroy the country's economy. Despite that legislative setback, the survey shows that citizens are betting on the transformation project led by Milei.

The provinces renewing senators this year are Chaco, Entre Ríos, Neuquén, Río Negro, Salta, Santiago del Estero, Tierra del Fuego, and the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires. Of the 24 seats at stake, Kirchnerism risks 15, placing it in a weak position in the face of a massive LLA breakthrough in the upper chamber.

Currently, La Libertad Avanza is not putting any senators at risk, which means that every seat it obtains will be a net gain. If the trends anticipated by CB are confirmed, the ruling party could add up to 20 seats of its own and from allies, consolidating a strategic position that would allow it to sustain presidential vetoes and gain parliamentary negotiating power.

The polls

In Tierra del Fuego, LLA leads with 36.7% of voting intention, clearly surpassing the Justicialist Party (26.8%). In Salta, it obtains 37.9%, compared to 30.9% for the PJ. In Río Negro and Neuquén, the libertarians also lead with 32% and 32.5%, respectively.

In CABA, where Milei has already demonstrated his strength at the polls, LLA together with PRO reaches a resounding 47.6%, leaving Kirchnerism far behind. In Chaco and Entre Ríos, the alliance formula with governors Leandro Zdero and Rogelio Frigerio projects a comfortable victory, with percentages close to 39% and 36%, respectively.

The only exception is Santiago del Estero, where the local Kirchnerist ruling party keeps a hegemony that is difficult to break. Nevertheless, even in that scenario, La Libertad Avanza would manage to displace the Justicialist Party and gain representation.

This projected electoral outlook reflects enormous support for the fiscal adjustment policies, economic deregulation, and defense of budgetary balance promoted by Milei's government.

Far from weakening, Javier Milei's administration demonstrates once again that it has growing support from the people, who are preparing to express themselves forcefully at the polls this October.