First major test of the year for Milei: labor reform enters its decisive stage in Congress during the extraordinary sessions

First major test of the year for Milei: labor reform enters its decisive stage in Congress during the extraordinary sessions
The head of La Libertad Avanza's bloc is responsible for leading the strategy to approve the labor reform in the Senate
porEditorial Team
Argentina

With labor reform as the central axis, the government is beginning the extraordinary sessions amid intense political negotiations and strong market expectations

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President Javier Milei called Congress to extraordinary sessions by decree. A period was set that will extend until February 27, with the opening of the regular sessions scheduled for March 1.

The agenda defined by the Executive Branch includes strategic bills for the consolidation of the economic program. It consists of labor reform, amendments to the Glacier Law, the consideration of the Mercosur–European Union agreement and diplomatic appointments.

The call seeks to sustain the Government's reformist momentum in a fragmented Congress. The ruling party constitutes the largest minority (both in the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate), and it has the capacity to build agreements.

Los intermediarios políticos en Diputado, el Senado y las provincias.
Los intermediarios políticos en Diputado, el Senado y las provincias.

Labor reform, the first major political test of the year

Within that agenda, labor reform became the first major political test of 2026 for the Government. The bill already has a majority opinion in the Senate and the ruling party aims to have it passed before mid-February. The parliamentary strategy is in the hands of Patricia Bullrich, head of the La Libertad Avanza caucus in the upper house.

The ruling party has 21 senators of its own, far from the required quorum of 37 seats, which forces intense negotiations with "dialogue-oriented" caucuses. The tentative date for holding a session is February 11, with an alternative on the 12th, although everything will depend on the agreements that are finalized in the coming hours.

La jefa del bloque de La Libertad Avanza es la encargada de conducir la estrategia para aprobar la reforma laboral en el Senado.
La jefa del bloque de La Libertad Avanza es la encargada de conducir la estrategia para aprobar la reforma laboral en el Senado.

Parliamentary arithmetic forces the Government to seek support from UCR, PRO and provincial caucuses. In that context, the Interior Minister, Diego Santilli, has been holding meetings with different governors to organize their legislators' votes and facilitate political agreements.

The main point of tension is the fiscal cost of the reform, estimated at around one percentage point of GDP, resulting from the tax cut that spreads the impact between the Nation and the provinces. The governors are demanding some compensation mechanism, while the Economy Minister, Luis Caputo, is maintaining a clear stance of not compromising fiscal balance or increasing taxes. 

However, far from confrontation, the ruling party chose a pragmatic strategy. It sat down at the negotiating table, accepted uncomfortable concessions and prioritized a greater objective. The Casa Rosada understands that the approval of labor reform is a necessary condition to sustain growth and deepen the normalization of the economy.

The market's view and Wall Street's interest

Labor reform is not only being closely followed by politics. The business community and international investors are watching its trajectory as a key signal of the Government's ability to modernize the country through legislation.

A recent report by JP Morgan highlighted that the bill aims to address one of Argentina's main structural imbalances: labor informality. The bank acknowledged that the initiative seeks to reduce hiring costs, improve legal predictability and lay the groundwork for greater formalization of employment. This generates a direct impact on investment and productivity.

Funcionarios y legisladores de LLA de reunión en el Congreso
Funcionarios y legisladores de LLA de reunión en el Congreso

The bill also incorporates explicit incentives for productive investment, especially for medium-sized projects. This includes: early VAT refunds, accelerated depreciation and a gradual reduction of the income tax starting in 2026.

For the bank, these measures aim to promote the deployment of private capital and to reactivate sectors with low levels of investment, expanding the tax base in the medium term.

From the fiscal standpoint, the report acknowledges an initial cost of between 0.7% and 0.8% of GDP, but it keeps that this impact would be offset by greater formalization, productivity and growth.

In that context, the market continues to watch closely: valuations of Argentine equities remain at low levels and could improve if the credibility of the economic program is consolidated.

Sesión en el Senado para aprobar el Presupuesto
Sesión en el Senado para aprobar el Presupuesto

Congress, market and governability

In this scenario, labor reform becomes much more than a legislative debate. It is a test of governability, a signal to investors and a turning point for the economic course. The Government faces the challenge with a clear strategy: to negotiate without giving up its course, to build circumstantial majorities and to move forward with structural reforms.

The outcome of this first major legislative test will determine not only the pulse of Congress, but also the level of political and economic confidence with which Milei will face the rest of the year.


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