Milei is supported by the results and the hope that the sacrifices are worth it

According to Mora Jozami, director of the consulting firm Casa Tres, President Javier Milei's administration is sustained equally by "its results as well as the hope that the sacrifices are worth it."

Among other results, such as the sharp drop in inflation, the administration that took office on December 10, 2023  managed to reduce poverty in the country.

She also pointed out that the president "managed to condense not only a menu of leaders, but also a way of doing things".

She also highlighted that the leader of La Libertad Avanza "managed to embody the weariness with the traditional system."

Regarding Córdoba  and its voters, who have been giving strong support to Milei, Jozami placed them "in the anti-Kirchnerism and change quadrant," which justifies their support for the libertarian project.

-How do you see the scenario in Córdoba looking ahead to October?

-There is quite a bit of uncertainty regarding names and alliances in all sectors. What happens in October at the electoral level will largely depend on the design of the electoral offer. For now, what I see in Córdoba is that Governor Martín Llaryora has been showing some setbacks in local administration, and it is necessary to pay attention to how the evaluation of his administration evolves and to analyze that trend. Nevertheless, it is important to clarify that he keeps good approval levels, around 50%. However, I insist, much will depend on the final design of the electoral offer, that is, whether Cordobesismo joins with a united Peronism and which candidate they put forward, how and with what clarity they position themselves in relation to the national government. There is a demand for clarity.

-It's hard to see Milei losing in October. Do you see it that way?

-What has been observed is a victory for all incumbents when the election is played out locally and a victory for the national government when the election is nationalized, as in the case of CABA ("Adorni is Milei").
Regarding Córdoba, Llaryora, sooner or later, will have to take a very defined and clear position regarding the national government. At that point, it will be seen in which "vote fishbowl" he can compete. Since it is a national election, the traditional dual vote of Cordobans (Peronism in the province and alternatives like PRO or LLA at the national level) is especially challenging to analyze.

-Will participation continue to decline?

-Initially, yes. So far, all local elections have shown low or very low participation levels, and I think that, although participation levels may partially recover when the call is at the national level, it will hardly return to its historical flow.

-Why does this happen?

-There is a disconnect between politics and the needs of the citizenry, and to this is added a diffuse, chaotic, and belligerent political offer. In this scenario, the voter further devalues the importance of local decision-making instances. However, it could recover in October. In this scenario of chaos and disconnection, nationalization and polarization prevail. Support for and/or rejection of the national government may end up driving the vote more than local electoral instances. 

-How do you interpret Milei's strong approval in Córdoba and how do you relate it to the anti-Kirchnerism that has dominated for years?

-The positioning against Kirchnerism and the positioning against Mileism, today, to a certain extent, are two sides of the same coin, because they are the two major camps in this polarized scenario. Yes, it is true that, for now, Kirchnerism continues to be the variable that most defines two different Argentinas within the same country. Because it is one of the camps that garners the most support while at the same time being the camp that generates the most rejection. Both today and historically, if we have to place the province of Córdoba in a quadrant defined by two axes, Kirchnerism-anti-Kirchnerism, continuity-change, the province continues to be located in the anti-Kirchnerism and change quadrant.

-What is Milei's greatest virtue in the eyes of voters?

-Milei managed to embody the weariness with the traditional system. Behind "the caste" he managed to condense not only a menu of leaders, but also a way of doing things. Today, he is sustained equally by both his results and the hope that the sacrifices are worth it. The fear of Kirchnerism returning also functions as a voting driver.