A new survey conducted in Mendoza confirmed a trend that had already been decisive in the 2023 runoff: the strong support for La Libertad Avanza, the space led by President Javier Milei.
The study, carried out by Equipo Mide between May 4 and May 12 on 1,917 cases and with a margin of error of +/- 2.6%, reflects not only the strong support for the national government but also a clear predominance of La Libertad Avanza in the provincial electoral landscape.
The survey, commissioned by winery entrepreneurs, takes on special significance ahead of next year's elections, where Mendoza will have to choose a governor and a president. It is one of the most influential provinces in the country, with nearly one and a half million eligible voters, ranking fifth in the national registry.
Survey data.
Survey Data
One of the central data points of the report is the difference in the perception of the national situation compared to the provincial.
According to the survey, 44% of Mendocinians believe that the current situation of the country is good, while 46% think that the national direction is correct. In this context, the positive image of President Javier Milei reaches 54%, marking a significant level of support.
In contrast, the evaluation of the provincial management falls short: 43% view the situation in Mendoza positively, 30% consider the local direction correct, and the positive image of Governor Alfredo Cornejo reaches 36%. These numbers show that the national libertarian leadership enjoys greater adherence than the provincial administration.
In terms of political identity, La Libertad Avanza also clearly positions itself as the dominant force. When asked “Which political space do you feel most represented by?”, 38% chose the libertarian space, far above the rest.
They are followed by those who do not identify with any (18%), non-Kirchnerist Peronism (14%), and Kirchnerism, which is relegated with only 10%. Further behind are UCR (7%), PRO (4%), and the left (4%).
Survey data.
Voting Intentions for President and Governor
The national electoral scenario projected by the survey also shows a strong advantage for Milei. In voting intentions for president, the president reaches 39%, more than doubling Axel Kicillof, who obtains 18%.
Further behind are Juan Grabois and Guillermo Moreno, both with 3%, while other figures like Dante Gebel (2%), María Eugenia Vidal (2%), and Martín Lousteau (1%) complete a fragmented scenario for the opposition. Additionally, 9% say they would not vote for any and 8% do not know or do not answer.
In the race for the governorship of Mendoza, the libertarian dominance is also evident. Luis Petri, representing La Libertad Avanza, leads the voting intention with a solid 30%, pulling ahead of the other candidates. Far behind are Ulpiano Suárez (10%) and Emir Félix (8%), followed by Matías Stevanato (7%).
The rest of the candidates are at lower levels: Florencia Destefanis and Anabel Fernández Sagasti with 6% each, Mario Vadillo with 4%, and other leaders with even lower percentages. An 8% say they would not choose any, while 7% do not know or do not answer.
Thus, the study by Equipo Mide shows a clear scenario in Mendoza: predominance of the libertarian government, high valuation of President Milei, and a marked weakness of the spaces linked to Kirchnerism, both in perception and in voting intention.
