A recent study revealed an overwhelming advantage of the president compared to his competitors
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A new national survey projected an electoral scenario heading toward the 2027 elections and produced overwhelming results in favor of President Javier Milei.
The study, carried out by consulting firm QSocial, shows a 20-point difference between Milei and his main competitor, ultra-Kirchnerist governor Axel Kicillof, consolidating an advantage that, if it holds, would allow him to win comfortably in the first round.
The survey was conducted on a sample of 1,111 cases across the country, with a margin of error of +/- 3%. The firm QSocial has more than 15 years of experience in the market and works both with political actors and with the business sector.
The report not only measured voting intention by political figures, but also included a section aimed at assessing the general political climate and the social perception of the direction of the country. In that context, the results also favored the libertarian administration.
Javier Milei, presidente de Argentina.
The survey
One of the central axes of the study was the question about continuity or change of the current model of government. On that point, QSocial posed the following question: “Do you believe that, although the election is still far away, the next government should continue most of the policies initiated by the current government, change most of them, or continue some and change others?”.
The answers showed a favorable inclination toward the current course: 41% of respondents stated that the next government should “continue most of the policies”, while 33% expressed a preference for “changing most of them”. In an intermediate position, 22% considered that it would be advisable to “continue some and change others”.
La encuesta de QSocial. Infografía de Clarín.
The most relevant chapter of the work came with the direct electoral simulation. Faced with the question: “Although the election is still far away, imagine that tomorrow you have to choose the new president of the country. Which of the following political figures would you vote for?”, Milei's advantage is enormous.
The president reaches 45% voting intention, compared to the 25% obtained by Axel Kicillof. If that scenario is confirmed, Milei would win in the first round. Further behind are Juan Schiaretti, with 4%, and Nicolás del Caño, of the Left Front, with 2%.
The report also reflects the recent evolution of preferences: between October and December, Milei recorded growth of approximately 10 points, while Kicillof showed a drop of 2 points in the same period.
