La Libertad Avanza leads voting intentions ahead of the October elections

A new opinion study conducted by the consulting firm Isasi-Burdman reveals a scenario that is widely favorable for the ruling party of Javier Milei ahead of the upcoming national legislative elections scheduled for October 26.

The consulting firm, which had already accurately predicted the victory of the candidate and presidential spokesperson, Manuel Adorni, in the Buenos Aires election, when most analysts forecasted a win for the radical Kirchnerist Leandro Santoro, once again positions itself as one of the most optimistic voices regarding the performance of the Milei Government at the polls.

The survey, conducted between May 20 and 27, covered 2,500 cases through nationwide online surveys. The results measure not only voting intention but also the image of President Javier Milei and the approval of his administration.

Survey data

Regarding the assessment of the Argentine president, the report highlights a two-point increase in his positive image compared to the previous month, reaching 52%. Conversely, the negative image dropped from 41% to 39%, while 9% replied with a "neutral" assessment.

This evolution in public perception coincides with an approval rating that stands at 53%, compared to 40% who express their disapproval and 7% who declare themselves undecided or without an opinion on the matter.

The survey also evaluated general electoral preferences, asking respondents whether in October they will vote for or against Javier Milei's government. 51% of those surveyed indicated that they will lean toward candidates who support the ruling party, while 37% would choose opposition representatives. This figure reflects growth in support for the Government compared to April, when the ratio was 47% in favor and 38% against.

Regarding voting intention by political force, La Libertad Avanza (LLA), Milei's party, comfortably leads the national scene with 42%, consolidating itself as the main force ahead of the elections. Far behind, in second place, is Peronism/Kirchnerism with 23%, marking a difference of almost 20 points.

Behind, all with single-digit figures, are PRO (8%), Radicalism (4%), provincial forces (4%), and the Left Front (3%). Meanwhile, 16% of those surveyed still do not know whom they will vote for or choose options not explicitly included in the survey.

With these numbers, Isasi-Burdman reaffirms its optimistic outlook toward Milei's administration, anticipating a possible clear victory for La Libertad Avanza in the legislative renewal.