Daniel Noboa led a recent electoral poll with 49.1% of the national voting intention. His main contender, Luisa González, obtained 46.2%, in a representative sample of 1,500 people across Ecuador's 24 provinces.
The study was conducted between March 13 and 19, 2025, by the firm Tino Electoral. Additionally, 4.7% of respondents declared themselves null or undecided, a figure that could tilt the final result in the coming months.
The survey reflects a tight electoral contest between the current president and the representative of Citizen Revolution. However, Noboa maintains an advantage that suggests sustained support for his management and center-right proposals.
In contrast, González's closeness to previous governments marked by corruption scandals seems to continue affecting her public image. Despite her firm positioning, her growth is limited by the rejection of urban and independent sectors.
