Thanks to Milei, the Argentine economy will grow by 4% in both 2026 and 2027

Thanks to Milei, the Argentine economy will grow by 4% in both 2026 and 2027
Javier Milei, president of Argentina
porEditorial Team
Argentina

This is according to World Bank projections, which also state that Argentina will grow by 4.6% in 2025

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Thanks to the Government of Javier Milei's successful economic program, the Argentine economy will grow by 4% in both 2026 and 2027, according to World Bank projections. In addition, according to the international organization, the country would already have recorded 4.6% growth in 2025.

The estimates arise from the latest edition of the Global Economic Prospects report, in which the World Bank analyzed the recent evolution and outlook of the Argentine economy within a regional and international context marked by uncertainty.

In the document, the entity warned that the domestic political instability recorded toward the end of 2025, in the context of the national legislative elections, had an impact on financial variables and will condition the performance of domestic demand during the current year.

“The uncertainty in domestic politics toward the end of last year led to episodes of pressure on the exchange rate, which drove increases in market interest rates that are expected to affect domestic demand and growth during this year. Support from the United States, including the provision of swap lines, helped stabilize financial conditions”, the report highlighted in its section devoted to Argentina.

Javier Milei.
Javier Milei.

In this context, the World Bank also focused on changes in the exchange rate regime. “The transition to an exchange rate band regime in April 2025 is projected to increase exchange rate flexibility, strengthening its role as a buffer against shocks”, the organization noted, when assessing the measures adopted to improve the economy's capacity to respond to potential external or financial imbalances.

Despite the challenges mentioned, the report places Argentina among the fastest-growing economies in Latin America. For 2026, the country would share that group with Panama, which would grow by 4.1%, and with the Dominican Republic, with estimated growth of 4.5%. This performance would occur in a regional context of moderate growth, but with marked differences between countries.

The World Bank also referred to fiscal policy and recalled the country's past experiences. In that regard, it mentioned the difficulties that Argentina faced when it attempted to implement fiscal rules in the early 2000s.

Nevertheless, it highlighted a change in trend after Milei's Government took office in December 2023. “The implementation of fiscal rules has been more successful in recent years, reflecting a greater commitment on the part of the authorities. This translated into primary fiscal surpluses since early 2024 and lower financing costs”, the report stressed.

El presidente Javier Milei.
El presidente Javier Milei.

Along the same lines, the organization emphasized that "the marked tightening of fiscal and monetary policy has contributed significantly to moderating inflation".

Regional growth

At the regional level, the World Bank projects that Latin America and the Caribbean will undergo a gradual recovery over the next two years. After 2.2% growth in 2025, regional expansion would reach 2.3% in 2026.

The report warns that this performance will be conditioned by the persistence of trade tensions and the uncertainty associated with them, as well as by domestic demand that remains weak in some countries, factors that will partially offset the positive effects of greater easing of financial conditions.

For 2027, the organization foresees a more sustained improvement, with regional growth close to 2.6%, driven by the recovery of trade flows and a gradual strengthening of domestic demand. In that scenario, Argentina would remain one of the region's most dynamic economies thanks to Milei's administration, according to World Bank projections.


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