Flavio Bolsonaro beats dictator Lula da Silva in a new survey of Brazil

Flavio Bolsonaro beats dictator Lula da Silva in a new survey of Brazil
porEditorial Team
Argentina

The right-wing candidate has an advantage in a highly contested ballot scenario.

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A national poll by Meio Ideia showed that the right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro surpasses the socialist dictator Lula da Silva in voting in a scenario of ballot in Brazil, placing him with an advantage in the context of a technical tie.

The survey, conducted between April 3 and 7 on a sample of 1,500 people, confirms that the electoral dispute is at a point of maximum competitiveness.

Specifically, the son of the former president and political prisoner, Jair Bolsonaro, obtained 45.8% of voting intention compared to 45.5% of Lula, an advantage of 0.3 percentage points.

The difference between the two candidates remains within the margin of error of 2.5 points, but with a slight numerical superiority of the senator, who emerges as one of the most relevant data in the study.

Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula da Silva.
Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula da Silva.

Survey data The

report also exposes a high level of uncertainty in the electorate. 51.4% of respondents said they could change their decision before October, a significant increase from 35.5%

in January.

Another key element is the weight of the undecided. Invalid, white votes and those who have not yet defined their position represent 8.7% of the total, a volume sufficient to tilt the result in such a

tight contest.

In alternative runoff scenarios, Lula manages to beat other candidates. He beats Ronaldo Caiado with 45% against 39% and Romeu Zema with 44.7% against 38.7%

.

It also has an advantage against Renan Santos and Aldo Rebelo, confirming the low competitiveness of the opposition leaders, although without making a difference against Bolsonaro.

Flavio Bolsonaro and Jair Bolsonaro.
Flavio Bolsonaro and Jair Bolsonaro.

The perception of current management also influences the electoral climate. 46.4% of those surveyed rate Lula da Silva's regime as negative or very negative, while 32.2% consider it positive. In the area of security, rejection reached 53.9%, compared to 18.9% of

favorable opinions.

Key voter concerns include the cost of living and indebtedness. 74.7% say that these factors are decisive when deciding their vote, and 70.4% perceive an increase in the cost of living in the last year. In addition, a significant proportion identifies indebtedness as a growing problem

.

With these data, the next elections in Brazil are consolidated as one of the most contested in recent years, with Flávio Bolsonaro showing a slight advantage in voting intention in a context marked by volatility and uncertainty.


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