Elon Musk claims that Grok 5 could reach AGI, with a 10% probability that continues to increase
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Elon Musk stated that his next artificial intelligence model, Grok 5, has a 10% chance of reaching AGI (Artificial General Intelligence).
After just three months since the launch of Grok 4, Musk is already looking to the future. He raised the possibility of an advanced artificial intelligence capable of performing human tasks in an almost indistinguishable way. Expectations are high and place the technology industry at the center of the debate.
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Musk's vision for Grok 5
Musk explained on the social network X that Grok 5 could "be an artificial general intelligence or something practically the same". He clarified that, although it can do everything a human with a computer can do, it will not surpass the combined intelligence of all people and computers.
The CEO of xAI also noted that superintelligence (capable of surpassing humans and machines) could arrive within three to five years.
Grok 5 and the race for AGI
Grok 5 is the next challenge for xAI, launched by Musk in 2023.
The AI is expected to have human-comparable capabilities in several tasks.
The probability percentage of reaching AGI increases over time according to Musk.
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Musk's bet comes at a key moment, meanwhile Sam Altman and OpenAI are making progress with GPT-5. Competition among AI giants is intensifying and presents scenarios in which technological innovation could change the way people work and think in less than a decade.
Expectations and risks
Experts warn that these estimates should be taken with caution. AGI remains a complex and controversial goal, and Musk's predictions, although bold, may not reflect the immediate reality.
