More than a year before the presidential elections, a national survey by RDT Consultores revealed a favorable scenario for Javier Milei, who clearly leads in voting intention and consolidates his electoral projection for a potential reelection.
The study places the President as the candidate with the highest level of support, both in first-round scenarios and in runoff projections, reflecting a sustained trend throughout the year. In this context, Milei's Reelection Index reaches 72 points out of 100, remaining in a favorable zone for the second consecutive month.
In July, the President's positive image grew from 38.0% in March to 39.3% in July, and the first-round voting intention stands at 30.5%, significantly widening the gap against his main competitors.
President Javier Milei
The Survey
Trailing behind are the Kirchnerist Axel Kicillof with 14.8%, a “new and different space” with 10.4%, while the communist Myriam Bregman and Sergio Massa each register 6.4%. The rest of the options show lower levels of support, in a scenario where the ruling party clearly remains in front.
The monthly data shows a positive evolution of the President in recent months. In March, he recorded 26.7%, a figure that rose to 31.8% in April, then adjusted to 28.8% in May, resumed the upward trend in June (29.3%), and grew again in July to reach 30.5%.
This dynamic confirms a sustained recovery in recent months and the consolidation of a floor close to 30% in voting intention.
In contrast, his main rivals show more irregular performances. Axel Kicillof, for example, dropped from 17.2% in June to 14.8% in July, marking his lowest level of the year and widening the gap with the ruling party. This difference reaches 15.7 points in the last month surveyed, due to the simultaneous growth of Milei and the decline of his main competitor.
Survey data
Other spaces also show more limited levels of support. The candidate from a “new space” remains around 10.4%, while the leftist and traditional Peronist options are below double digits. Meanwhile, blank or undecided votes reach 14.2%, and the undecided segment remains around 10.2%.
Projection of a Potential Runoff
In a potential runoff scenario, the President also prevails. The study's projection indicates that Milei would achieve 52.6% of valid votes against Kicillof, consolidating an advantage in a second round. Even in the measurement without undecided projections, he remains in front with 39.8% against 36.3%.
These results reinforce the ruling party's position in the current political landscape, with a clear leadership in voting intention and a trend that holds over time.
With this data, the electoral landscape begins to take shape with greater clarity, showing Milei in a position of sustained leadership and with clear advantages both in the first round and in a potential runoff.
