Poverty fell and there is a deafening silence from those who lived off it

Poverty fell and there is a deafening silence from those who lived off it
Poverty fell and there is a deafening silence from those who lived off it
porEditorial Team
Argentina

Without controls or patches, the market achieved what populism promised and never delivered

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Poverty in Argentina fell to 27.5% in the third quarter of 2025. It is not a narrative, it is not a PowerPoint, it is not an electoral promise: it is a figure based on INDEC data and projected by the National Council for the Coordination of Social Policies. The figure implies a year-on-year drop of 10.8 points and a reduction of 27.3 points since the beginning of Javier Milei's administration. In terms of extreme poverty, the contrast is even more brutal: Kirchnerism left 18.1% of people who did not eat every day; Milei brought it down to 5.4%. These are millions of Argentines who came out of hell. Even so, the silence is deafening.

Measuring poverty and extreme poverty is not a technocratic obsession: it is the only honest indicator to evaluate an administration. Everything else is smoke. When those indicators go down—and they are going down sharply—something structural is happening. What is extraordinary is that it occurred in the midst of a political, media, and union bombardment against the economic plan and without controls, regulations, or prohibitions. Only with less state and more market. Exactly the opposite of what the "national and popular" left preached for decades.

For this reason, and here the revelation principle comes into play, no social leader, no union leader, and no opposition force celebrated the drop in poverty. They also did not congratulate Minister Sandra Pettovello for the extraordinary administration at the head of Human Capital. Why? Because poverty was their political capital. Without poor people, there is no intermediation; without misery, there is no narrative. The drop of almost 30 points from the Kirchnerist peak (57% to 27.5%) is a moral defeat for those who turned dependency into a model of power.

However, the reduction in poverty also has to do with the macroeconomy, although for years they told us that worrying about it was a "neoliberal" obsession, cold and detached from social reality. The truth is exactly the opposite: without macroeconomic order there is no wage, there is no employment, and there is no possible inclusion. The data confirm it. Economic activity grew 5.3% year-on-year; cumulative growth over the first seven quarters reaches 4.5%, the highest in two decades. Private consumption is at an eight-year high, an unequivocal sign of a recovery in real income. Employment added 238,000 jobs in just twelve months, breaking the inertia of stagnation left by the previous model.

On top of that, there is a central figure that populism always tried to play down: inflation is receding. Wholesale inflation fell to 1.6% monthly and 24.3% year-on-year, giving prices predictability again and giving companies and workers room for planning. Country risk fell to 560 basis points, the lowest level since 2018, reflecting something basic but revolutionary for Argentina: credibility. This is not magic, nor coincidence, nor a "tailwind." It is fiscal, monetary, and exchange-rate order.

The external front also confirms the shift in an even more forceful way. In November, the trade surplus was USD 2.5 billion, four times what the REM projected. A record was reached in export volumes, with a cumulative energy surplus of USD 6.9 billion and the fourth-best month of industrial exports in eleven years. Argentina started producing again, started selling again, and above all, started generating genuine dollars again, not the artificial ones that were previously manufactured with controls, patches, and hidden debt.

For this reason, in the face of the interested noise about the USD 4.3 billion maturity in January, it is worth clarifying the obvious: the payment is guaranteed. There has been no government that bought more dollars to honor inherited debts without resorting to confiscations, default, or inflationary erosion. The surplus stopped being a slogan and became a rule. When the state stops being a predator and starts behaving like a responsible adult again, poverty goes down, jobs appear, and the future stops being an empty promise.

The change is also geopolitical. Argentina went from being a complacent partner of narco-dictatorships to an actor that denounces them without hesitation. In Mercosur, Milei set a clear position on trade, alliances, and the defense of freedom. A regional beacon in times of moral confusion.

The conclusion makes many people uncomfortable, but it is simple: there is nothing more inclusive than reducing poverty. This was achieved without a bloated state, without controls, without patches. It was achieved with clear rules, fiscal discipline, and economic freedom. The rest is nostalgia for a model that failed. Argentina, at last, chose to grow.


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