Lula maintains the lead in the first round
The situation is different when analyzing the first round scenario. There, Lula continues to lead in voting intention, with 44.1%, while Flávio Bolsonaro gathers 41.7%.
The presidential elections in Brazil will take place on October 4, with a second round scheduled for October 25 if necessary
The situation is different when analyzing the first round scenario. There, Lula continues to lead in voting intention, with 44.1%, while Flávio Bolsonaro gathers 41.7%.
The right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro is ahead of the socialist dictator Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in a potential second round for the Brazilian presidential elections, according to a new survey by AtlasIntel/Bloomberg.
The son of former president Jair Bolsonaro has a 47.2% voting intention, while the current Brazilian president reaches 46.8%.
The difference between the two is just 0.4 percentage points, reflecting the extreme polarization scenario in Brazil just days before a historic election.
The new result represents a change from the survey released on September 10, when Flávio Bolsonaro also led Lula, but by an even smaller margin: 46.4% to 46.2%. The new measurement thus maintains a scenario of strong parity between the two leaders heading into a potential second round.
Further behind are the right-wing Renan Santos, with 5.1%, and Augusto Cury, with 3.5%, according to the same measurement. Compared to the previous survey, Lula then had 43% and Flávio reached 37.4%, so they recorded an improvement in their percentages within the new survey, especially Bolsonaro, who grew more than 4 points.
AtlasIntel conducted the survey between September 11 and 16 and consulted 5,018 people. The survey was conducted online and has a margin of error of 1 percentage point, with a confidence level of 95%.
The Brazilian presidential elections will have their first round on October 4. If no candidate exceeds 50% of valid votes, the two most voted will compete in a second round scheduled for October 25.
With the new measurement, the scenario between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro again shows a tight race, with the right-wing senator ahead in the second round simulation, after several months where he appeared far below the current Brazilian dictator.